Economics and Finance

1712 Submissions

[4] viXra:1712.0675 [pdf] replaced on 2018-01-01 18:14:04

The 'future' 2018 Crash of Currencies Followed by an Age of Wars

Authors: Luis Sancho
Comments: 34 Pages. replaced, shorter, clearer, 1st january 2018

The 72 year cycle of global financial crashes is caused by new informative machines that overproduce digital money - stock paper, ticker electric money and e-money. As such they have a short 9 year product cycle of overproduction: 1848-57-64+72 train stock crashes->1921-29-37 electric crashes+72->2001-08-18 e-money crashes. Why 3? Because digital overproduced money is worthless, so speculators change it for the only 3 items of massive 'real value': real stocks, real state and real currency, inflating their price and crashing them:i.e. 1921 pound crash, 29-stocks,37 Ny real state; 2001-dotcom bubble, 2008-mortgages,2018bitcoin&$ then the only way to keep 'selling money' is war debt loans and arsenals of max. price=profit. So after those 3 crashes the world enters in Global war: 1860s-90s civil wars, unification wars, colonial wars fought with trains/steamers, 1936-53 wars fought with electrochemical engines (bombers, tanks). Hence: 2020-50s robotic wars. Problem is as stocks measure reproduction of machines-weapons their value in war age measures 'corpses'. ie. 1860s stocks 2 Dow jones, 700.000 victims train wars->1940s dow at 200, one hundred folding value and victims: 70 million. Now dow at 20 thousand, hence potential victims in robotic wars 7 billion all of mankind. Thus the system of printing money MUST change and be issued for welfare, Butter not Canons...
Category: Economics and Finance

[3] viXra:1712.0661 [pdf] submitted on 2017-12-29 23:57:59

A Look Through Globalism in Japan and South Korea

Authors: Seungmin Song
Comments: 17 Pages. This paper was written for self-satisfactory purpose, not for a specific project.

For South Korea, globalization started to take a significant role after the end of Korean war. Even though there are records of international trade during the “Koryo” period and a process of Westernization with the impact of Japan’s Globalization during the Japanese Occupation, it was nearly resetted by the devastating effects of the War. As South Korea required a big shift after massive destruction during the war, the country started planning on earning international monetary in order to develop economically. Globalization of the country was the fundamental process for Korea’s fast development in the past 50 years. Japan, on the other hand, had a more gradual process through globalism. The first trade between Japan and Western countries took place in 1543, where they shared religion, economic styles, and their products. With no major barrier against the process of globalization like Korea, they have developed through a considerable amount of time with globalism that they were able to secure their own cultures without altering it with a dramatic drift through globalization. Japan also have a history for showing dominant nationalism through the event of World War 2. With its emphasis in strict nationalism impacted the way they developed their own globalization in their country.
Category: Economics and Finance

[2] viXra:1712.0466 [pdf] submitted on 2017-12-15 23:44:57

Harvard Q-Guide Predictions Market

Authors: Luis Perez, Haotian Wu
Comments: 14 Pages.

Given the announcement by Harvard College to stop publishing difficulty rating for courses \cite{crimson}, a need has arisen for alternative methods of information gathering among undergraduates. In this paper, we propose different prediction market mechanisms, detailing user input/output, contract definitions, and payment rules for each of the proposed mechanisms. The goal of each mechanism is to obtain accurate predictions that could replace Q-guide data (overall course quality, difficulty rating, and workload rating). We further discuss properties of each prediction market, such as the truthfulness incentives of for individual agents, individual agent's optimal policies, and expected results from each market. We conclude with a discussion and explanation of a simple toy implementation of the market, detailing design consideration that might affect user behaviour in our market, and laying the groundwork for future expansion and testing.
Category: Economics and Finance

[1] viXra:1712.0361 [pdf] submitted on 2017-12-08 07:20:28

Economic Sociodynamics: Criticism

Authors: Arsen A. Movsesyan
Comments: 13 Pages.

The article provides a solution to the problem of classification of the Social Sciences, and briefly tells about the newly discovered fundamental Laws of Sociodynamics, which are the driving force of the historic progress. The author, based on these laws, holds constructive criticism of the Concept of Economic Sociodynamics (CES) proposed by R. S. Greenberg and A. J. Rubinstein. The corresponding analysis bears interdisciplinary nature at the junction of sciences such as Sociodynamics, Psychology and Physics. The article reasonably shows the fallacy of the foundation of CES and its potential danger. The author in doing so was basing on the objective Laws of Nature and not on the subjective judgments.
Category: Economics and Finance